CBA (cost-benefit analysis) for the Victim problem

 ---------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 Content

 ---------------------------------------------------------------

 

 1.Referencing

   

   This document makes several references. Please make take time

   to read through them, providing a through glossar of used

   abbreviations and personas.

   

 1.1.The Author

     

     The Author (described as "he" or "the Author") referes to 

     the CEO of the "Haus der Luege" institute known as Flo.

     

 1.2.PHQ

     

     PHQ is an abbreviation for the browser game this document 

     refers to. See X for a web link.

     

 1.3.MS

     

     MS in an abbreviation for the creator of PHQ (see 1.2 for

     further information). And is being praised like a god.

     

 1.4 CS

     

     Has several meanings, depending on it's singularity it's

     either one natural person with the work contract seller,

     or the summ of all natural persons with the work contract

     seller.

     

 1.5 TC

     

     Has several meanings, depending on it's singularity it's

     either one natural person with the work trap crafter,

     or the summ of all natural persons with the work trap

     crafter.

 

 2.Introduction

 

   Victims are expensive goods. But they are the most important

   abutment for a working institute. They bring both live and

   death to a institute.

 

   The main problem that exists now, that the contract limit

   for victims is far too low. Resulting in a very low victim

   income. But a TC in the authors position requires more. 

   And soon the throughput is higher than the input. The 

   following document shall now find an alternative solution 

   for the Victim problem.

 

 3.Source of the Problem

 

   The source of the problem was the introduction of the limit

   for TC when signing contracts. The level of the contract a TC

   can sign, is based on the TCs level. Main motivation about

   this limitation was to avoid or cease the fact, that only

   high level contracts are being purchases; resulting in an

   disprofit of the younger CS which cannot create these 

   contracts at the time of purchase.

   

   Although the motivation behind this feature is righteous,

   there exists a problem with the implementation. The 

   limited number of contract steps[1] makes the gaps between

   which a new contract type is available, quite huge. Resulting

   in the problem described as follows.

 

   -------------------------------------------------------------

   Footnote: [1] The amount of victims purchased by a contract

                 hase the base of 40. E.g: 40, 80, 120 and so

                 forth.

 

 4.The Problem

   

   The main problem is, that the Autor's current situation 

   (see Table 4.1 for further information)

   

   +-----------------------------+-----------+

   | Key                         |   Value   |

   +-----------------------------+-----------+

   | Level                       |    18     |

   | Victims killed              |  465,583  |

   | Traps placed                |   33/36   |

   | Contracts                   |   29/29   |

   | Rank                        |    26     |

   | Fixcosts                    |  13,505   |

   | Victims caught              |   3,480   |

   | Victims killed              |   8,352   |

   +-----------------------------+-----------+

    (Table 4.1: Statistics from the Author's

     institute "Haus der Luege"; 13th June 06)

   

   (continued)

   describes the problem very well. Although the maximium level

   of contract is being reached, the amount of victims delivered

   by the CS does not meet the needs of Author. As you can see

   additionaly the Author does not practice the full amount of

   traps placed to avoid additional costs. Currently CS only

   provide 41.6°% of the daily killed victims. The other 58,4%

   are being purchased via third party vendors. This necessary

   behaviour results in extra costs for the Author's institute.

   Currently the funds are big enough to cover these extra 

   costs. Although the amount of capital and surplus is 

   shrinking steadily; which may lead the the ruin of "Haus der

   Luege."

   

 5.Example

   

   The following paragraph will show you a calculation of the

   costs the "Haus der Luege" Coorp has to afford (excluding

   taxes, such as CIT[1]; bound capital surpluses, accruals for

   salary statement new; alimony payments[2] and costs for the

   Choosen Victim) for the next day.

   (Forecast) :

   

   Income:                  + 29,923 SD

   Clients:                 +    281 SD

   Sponsoring:              +  9,500 SD

   Consultants:             +  2,971 SD

   Total contracts:         - 13,505 SD

   ------------------------------------

   Summ                     + 29,127 SD

   

   In fact his is a very positive bilance. Also excluded are 

   regularbooking actions, such as the selling of contracts. 

   Which shall not be overrated, because the amount of traps 

   crafted for home, use to keep the current level, does not 

   necessary allow crafting of traps which would then be sold.

   

   But in an negative addition to the calculation above comes

   the purchase of victims off third party vendors. To calculate

   this value, whe should first take a look at the victim 

   requirements.

   

   Normally the amount of victims changes something like this.

   Although the amount of victims actually killed counts into

   higher force of nature and thus cannot be prognosed.

   (Forecast) :

   

   Current:                   10,407 V

   Chosen Victim:          -      38 V

   Total Contracts:        +   3,480 V

   Total Traps:            -   8,402 V

   -----------------------------------

   Summ                    +   5,447 V

   

   The fact that the amoutn of victims has decreased to the half

   of the previous value underlines the need of victims off 

   third party vendors.

   

   The simple calculation:



     8,402 V

  -  3,480 V

  ----------

     4,922 V

   

   Gives us a hint about the size of the gap that must be 

   filled. Thus we result in the following situation:

   

   Current:                   10,407 V

   Chosen Victim:          -      38 V

   Total Contracts:        +   3,480 V

   Total Traps:            -   8,402 V

   Third party vendors:    +   4,922 V

   -----------------------------------

   Summ                    +  10,369 V

   

   The difference between the new and the old victim amount can

   be balanced by purchasing 88 extra victims; which results in

   a round number of 5,000 V per day extra costs.

   

   -------------------------------------------------------------

   Footnote: [1] corparate income tax (ger.: "KST").

             [2] Casualty results of the author's sexual 

                 intercourses are not part of the topics 

                 of this document.

   

 6.Solutions

   

   There are several solutions for this problem:

   

 6.1.Scrounging victims

     

     The missing victims are being balanced through panhanlding.

     Good friends and/or team buddies are being begged to 

     provide the missing victims. Which results in a strong

     dependency, and the online status cannot be predicted, thus

     this solution drops out.

   

 6.2.Black market

     

     The missing victims may be purchased through the black

     market. The following calculations take middle values

     of the prices on the black market:

     

     +----------------+------------------------+

     |      SD/V      |     Extra costs (SD)   |

     +----------------+------------------------+

     |      3.90      |         19,500         |

     |    irrelevant  |       irrelevant       |

     |      7.79      |         38,950         |

     +----------------+------------------------+

     (Table 6.2.1 shows the extra costs per day

      depending on the prices of a victim on the

      black market. Amount of victims purchased:

      approx. 5,000)

     

     This shows, that an exact package of 5,000 V is 

     necessary, which does not cost more than 3.90 per/V

     to be healthy for the economy of the institute. Any

     other SD/V value would result in a loss.

     

     Another solution is to cut down each contract and try to

     live from the black market only. If we add the 3,480 we 

     would need extra the table looks like this:

     

     +----------------+------------------------+

     |      SD/V      |     Extra costs (SD)   |

     +----------------+------------------------+

     |      3.90      |         33,072         |

     |    irrelevant  |       irrelevant       |

     +----------------+------------------------+

     (Table 6.2.2 shows the extra costs per day

      depending on the prices of a victim on the

      black market. Amount of victims purchased:

      approx. 8,480)

     

     The new amount of extra costs would then be 33,072 SD (best

     case) which is also not healthy for the economy.

     Both solutions are not profitable, and thus drop out.

     

 7.The final Solution

   

   Since the current environment settings cannot be changed, the

   state of the institute must change. Employees must be fired,

   traps be destroyed, and the millions we lost in Bawag be

   catched up. Otherwise the instituation is about being ruined.

   

   This results in the following calculation. The best trap the

   author can use is a "Room of Fate", which has approx. 268 

   kills per day. If we know divide this through the victims

   caught:

   

   3,480 / 268 = 12,985

               ~ 12

   

   Results in an a number of 12 traps allowed max. 12 of 36

   available. This is the plan for the future; if nothing

   changes.